More Food for Pessimism

Fred Iklé is a thinker about strategy, including the "unthinkable."

In this piece, he argues that the absence of a nuclear attack for the last 60 years, anywhere in the world, is partly a matter of luck.

If our luck is running out, the danger is abetted by incompetence. We aren't doing enough, again with known or achievable technologies, to do such things as detect smuggled nuclear devices in ship containers.

Although the anti-nuclear movement was largely part of the kooky left, it was right about one thing -- a nuclear attack or conflict would be incredibly horrible, and greater efforts to prevent one are urgently needed.

OK. Enough dark stuff. How's Britney's pregnancy going? Are Brad and Angelina an item or not?